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Remote sensing methods are commonly used to assess and monitor ecosystem conditions in drylands, but accurate classification and detection of ecological state change are challenging due to sparse vegetation cover, high spatial heterogeneity, and high interannual variability in production. We evaluated whether phenological metrics are effective for distinguishing dryland ecological states using imagery from near-surface camera (PhenoCam) and satellite (Harmonized Landsat 8 and Sentinel-2, hereafter HLS) sources, and how effectiveness varied across wet and dry rainfall years. We analyzed time series over 92 site-years at a site in southern New Mexico undergoing transitions from grassland to shrubland on different soil types. Rainfall was a driver of phenological response across all ecological states, with wet years correlating with later start of season, later peak, higher peak greenness, and shorter growing season. This rainfall response was strongest in shrub-invaded grasslands on sandy soils. PhenoCam estimated significantly earlier start of season than HLS for shrublands on gravelly soils and earlier end of season than HLS for shrub-invaded grasslands on sandy soils. We propose integrating seasonal metrics from high-frequency PhenoCam time series with satellite assessments to improve monitoring efforts in drylands, use phenological differences across variable rainfall years to measure differences in ecosystem function among states, and use the timing and strength of peak greenness of key plant functional groups (grasses in our study site) as an indicator of ecological state change.more » « less
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The world's rangelands and drylands are undergoing rapid change, and consequently are becoming more difficult to manage. Big data and digital technologies (digital tools) provide land managers with a means to understand and adaptively manage change. An assortment of tools—including standardized field ecosystem monitoring databases; web‐accessible maps of vegetation change, production forecasts, and climate risk; sensor networks and virtual fencing; mobile applications to collect and access a variety of data; and new models, interpretive tools, and tool libraries—together provide unprecedented opportunities to detect and direct rangeland change. Accessibility to and manager trust in and knowledge of these tools, however, have failed to keep pace with technological advances. Collaborative adaptive management that involves multiple stakeholders and scientists who learn from management actions is ideally suited to capitalize on an integrated suite of digital tools. Embedding science professionals and experienced technology users in social networks can enhance peer‐to‐peer learning about digital tools and fulfill their considerable promise.more » « less
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Abstract QuestionsGrasslands provide important provisioning services worldwide and their management has consequences for these services. Management intensification is a widespread land‐use change and has accelerated across North America to meet rising demands on productivity, yet its impact on the relationship between plant diversity and productivity is still unclear. Here, we investigated the relationship between plant diversity and grassland productivity across nine ecoclimatic domains of the continental United States. We also tested the effect of management intensification on diversity and productivity in four case studies. MethodsWe acquired remotely sensed gross primary productivity data (GPP, 1986–2018) and plant diversity data measured at different spatial scales (1, 10, 100, 400 m2), as well as climate variables including the Palmer drought index from two ecological networks. We used general linear mixed models to relate GPP to plant diversity across sites. For the case study analysis, we used linear mixed models to relate plant diversity to management intensity, and tested if the management intensity influenced the relationship between GPP (mean and temporal variation) and drought. ResultsAcross all sites, we observed positive relationships among species richness, productivity, and the temporal stability of mean annual biomass production. These relationships were not affected by the scale at which species richness was observed. In three out of the four case studies, we observed that management effects on species richness were only significant at broader scales (i.e., ≥10 m2) with no clear effect found at the commonly used 1‐m2quadrat scale. In one case study, species‐poor, intensively managed pastures presented the highest productivity but were more sensitive to dry conditions than less intensified pastures. However, in other case studies, we did not observe significant effects of management intensity on the magnitude or stability of productivity. ConclusionsGeneralization across studies may be difficult and require the development of intensification indices general enough to be applied across diverse management strategies in grazilands. Understanding how management intensification affects grassland productivity will inform the development of sustainable intensification strategies.more » « less
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Abstract Agroecosystems, which include row crops, pasture, and grass and shrub grazing lands, are sensitive to changes in management, weather, and genetics. To better understand how these systems are responding to changes, we need to improve monitoring and modeling carbon and water dynamics. Vegetation Indices (VIs) are commonly used to estimate gross primary productivity (GPP) and evapotranspiration (ET), but these empirical relationships are often location and crop specific. There is a need to evaluate if VIs can be effective and, more general, predictors of ecosystem processes through time and across different agroecosystems. Near‐surface photographic (red‐green‐blue) images from PhenoCam can be used to calculate the VI green chromatic coordinate (GCC) and offer a pathway to improve understanding of field‐scale relationships between VIs and GPP and ET. We synthesized observations spanning 76 site‐years across 15 agroecosystem sites with PhenoCam GCCand GPP or ET estimates from eddy covariance (EC) to quantify interannual variability (IAV) in the relationship between GPP and ET and GCCacross. We uncovered a high degree of variability in the strength and slopes of the GCC∼ GPP and ET relationships (R2 = 0.1 ‐ 0.9) within and across production systems. Overall, GCCis a better predictor of GPP than ET (R2 = 0.64 and 0.54, respectively), performing best in croplands (R2 = 0.91). Shrub‐dominated systems exhibit the lowest predictive power of GCCfor GPP and ET but have less IAV in slope. We propose that PhenoCam estimates of GCCcould provide an alternative approach for predictions of ecosystem processes.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available September 1, 2026
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Land surface phenology (LSP) enables global-scale tracking of ecosystem processes, but its utility is limited in drylands due to low vegetation cover and resulting low annual amplitudes of vegetation indices (VIs). Due to the importance of drylands for biodiversity, food security, and the carbon cycle, it is necessary to understand the limitations in measuring dryland dynamics. Here, using simulated data and multitemporal unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) imagery of a desert shrubland, we explore the feasibility of detecting LSP with respect to fractional vegetation cover, plant functional types, VI uncertainty, and two different detection algorithms. Using simulated data, we found that plants with distinct VI signals, such as deciduous shrubs, can require up to 60% fractional cover to consistently detect LSP. Evergreen plants, with lower seasonal VI amplitude, require considerably higher cover and can have undetectable phenology even with 100% vegetation cover. Our evaluation of two algorithms showed that neither performed the best in all cases. Even with adequate cover, biases in phenological metrics can still exceed 20 days and can never be 100% accurate due to VI uncertainty from shadows, sensor view angle, and atmospheric interference. We showed how high-resolution UAV imagery enables LSP studies in drylands and highlighted important scale effects driven by within-canopy VI variation. With high-resolution imagery, the open canopies of drylands are beneficial as they allow for straightforward identification of individual plants, enabling the tracking of phenology at the individual level. Drylands thus have the potential to become an exemplary environment for future LSP research.more » « less
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